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WWAW Syria about to be cloven in two by moderate beheaders.

Chive Turkey

Erock Army Deserter
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34,406
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It's gotta be fawkin maddening to be a Russian advisor on the ground and see a bunch of goatfuckers in tacticool gear succeed at an actual two-week SMO.
 

Chive Turkey

Erock Army Deserter
Forum Clout
34,406
explain to the folks at home what the fuck I'm looking at cause this seems like a zoom-in on NW Florida hurricane damage
Rebels (green) embarked on a massive southward offensive, capturing Aleppo, Hama and now trying to encircle Homs (three of the biggest cities in the country). The capture of Homs would split the Syrian state into two: a coastal strip, which is the heartland of Assad's people and the location of most of the Russian bases in the country, and everything else, including the capital Damascus.

tl;dr if the rebels capture Homs Assad is pretty fucked.
 

chocolatehellhole

Robert from Pizza Brews & Two Dudes Podcast
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55,770
Rebels (green) embarked on a massive southward offensive, capturing Aleppo, Hama and now trying to encircle Homs (three of the biggest cities in the country). The capture of Homs would split the Syrian state into two: a coastal strip, which is the heartland of Assad's people and the location of most of the Russian bases in the country, and everything else, including the capital Damascus.

tl;dr if the rebels capture Homs Assad is pretty fucked.
Assad will be fine, Russia will not allow this to disrupt their access to their naval base in Tartus.
 

We Have Everything

They unpinned the Boq threads...
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USA will help build a Neo-Caliphate (and use dumb elections and other "democratic facades" to do it) in spite of its wishes, and these rebels will be its building blocks, and Im here chilling in the West watching it like it's a fawkin movie, cuz I know how it will end (Neo-caliphs will do what the Ottomans did and fuck West's ability to loot the East).

What a time to be alive.
 

We Have Everything

They unpinned the Boq threads...
Forum Clout
-8,237
Rebels (green) embarked on a massive southward offensive, capturing Aleppo, Hama and now trying to encircle Homs (three of the biggest cities in the country). The capture of Homs would split the Syrian state into two: a coastal strip, which is the heartland of Assad's people and the location of most of the Russian bases in the country, and everything else, including the capital Damascus.

tl;dr if the rebels capture Homs Assad is pretty fucked.
We go in detail:

 

Chive Turkey

Erock Army Deserter
Forum Clout
34,406
Assad will be fine, Russia will not allow this to disrupt their access to their naval base in Tartus.
Russia's embroiled in Ukraine. Russian air power can only do so much, besides, it's about having boots on the ground willing to defend it. In the past, Hezbollah and Iran would've supplemented the Syrian army but they've taken a pounding recently from the Jews. Assad is in a bad spot now that the benefactors that could've bailed him out have been engaged in their own conflicts, limiting the amount of support they're able to give. Support that might not make it in time to be useful even if a definitive peace was reached with Ukraine or Israel tomorrow, given the sheer speed of the advance.

HTS will probably make for Damascus and leave both the coastline and the Kurds alone for the moment, as there's no reason to poke those beehives right now. Assad definitely could survive, but it'd be as the leader of an Alawite rump state, not most of Syria.
 

T-t-t-Terry!

"I meant don't rib @T-t-t-Terry"
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37,278
USA will help build a Neo-Caliphate (and use dumb elections and other "democratic facades" to do it) in spite of its wishes, and these rebels will be its building blocks, and Im here chilling in the West watching it like it's a fawkin movie, cuz I know how it will end (Neo-caliphs will do what the Ottomans did and fuck West's ability to loot the East).

What a time to be alive.
You know the brits and the USA support Islam in the middle East precisely because they know it will destabilize everything, right? The people at the top don't give a shit what Arabs believe so long as it keeps them all stupid and fighting each other. Mission accomplished
 

We Have Everything

They unpinned the Boq threads...
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-8,237
"Duhhhhh the first world is all controlled by shadowy figures but a bunch of third-world goat herders are completely immune from their influence."

THIS IS WHAT BOQS ACTUALLY BELIEVE
I really demote myself so much, just because I once used to lol a bit here (while entertaining myself with my own lil ops/fun)...sigh

These are faaaaar from goatherders. These may be the best trained, most sought after soldiers to exist rn. What has believing tropes got you thus far? In this case, Im telling you, you couldn't be more wrong except to call fire, water. These HTS soldiers have military colleges etc peppered all over the Syrian-Turkish border, and their graduating cadets are literally BETTER soldiers than anything Israel, Canada, USA etc can put together, mostly because they are well trained (new level-up) and not afraid to die (always been the case).


You are truly a relic, the world is truly passing you by (in real real time). You belong in 1991-2016ish, but to be not so mean, will say: 1991-2024ish
 

T-t-t-Terry!

"I meant don't rib @T-t-t-Terry"
Forum Clout
37,278
I really demote myself so much, just because I once used to lol a bit here (while entertaining myself with my own lil ops/fun)...sigh

These are faaaaar from goatherders. These may be the best trained, most sought after soldiers to exist rn. What has believing tropes got you thus far? In this case, Im telling you, you couldn't be more wrong except to call fire, water. These HTS soldiers have military colleges etc peppered all over the Syrian-Turkish border, and their graduating cadets are literally BETTER soldiers than anything Israel, Canada, USA etc can put together, mostly because they are well trained (new level-up) and not afraid to die (always been the case).


You are truly a relic, the world is truly passing you by (in real real time). You belong in 1991-2016ish, but to be not so mean, will say: 1991-2024ish
It's called hyperbole. The point is that if the forces that run the world can so subvert the west what exactly stops them from rawdogging the east? They definitely push certain sects of Islam over others to destabilize things and you're retarded or coping to deny it. What happened to Iran?

"Uhhh but they shoot guns real good"

What the fuck does thst have to do with ideological subversion? We can shoot that, now?

Fucking DWOOOOOPE
 
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