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Pat is on stage 1 of the 4 stages of competence

BudDickman

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In basically everything Pat has ever attempted, e.g. writing, comedy, punditry, he considers himself an expert almost immediately. If you look at the early archived versions of his website, you will see that he's been doling out writing advice since before he ever published anything.

The following paragraph describes Pat perfectly:

The individual does not understand or know how to do something and does not necessarily recognize the deficit. They may deny the usefulness of the skill. The individual must recognize their own incompetence, and the value of the new skill, before moving on to the next stage. The length of time an individual spends in this stage depends on the strength of the stimulus to learn.
 
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